Bloomberg Intelligence’s senior macro strategist, Mike McGlone, remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, maintaining his forecast of a $100,000 price.
Senior macro strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, Mike McGlone, remains firmly rooted in his earlier prediction of Bitcoin (BTC) achieving a six-figure price. However, he acknowledges potential significant challenges on the road to this goal.
In a recent conversation with Scott Melker, a well-known crypto influencer, McGlone reiterated his belief in the long-term value proposition of Bitcoin. He even suggested a potential retreat to prices below $20,000 before a steady climb to the $100,000 threshold.
McGlone offered a snapshot of his financial outlook, pointing to significant yields of over 5% from Treasury bills and ongoing monetary tightening activities by the Federal Reserve as significant indicators.
He showed particular concern towards the housing market, citing a recent 1% drop in the Case-Shiller index, an instrument designed to monitor real estate price shifts across the US. Having reached its highest point in June 2022, the index has witnessed a downward trend, reminiscent of the 2006 decline.
In the present economic landscape, McGlone asserts that Bitcoin may find initiating a bullish run challenging. His comparison of Bitcoin with the NASDAQ provides perspective. While Bitcoin prices have stagnated since first hitting $30,000 at the end of 2020, the NASDAQ index has seen a 20% increase over the same period.
This, coupled with significantly lower volatility, indicates a more robust performance from the NASDAQ, which features a plethora of promising assets, including AI technology.
Despite the arrival of Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin’s performance hasn’t matched the excitement. The senior strategist attributes this underperformance partly to the overly bullish sentiments clouding realistic appraisal. The macroeconomic environment remains largely unfavorable, with the Fed consistently reining in the monetary supply, effectively “taking away the punch bowl.”
McGlone’s prediction for Bitcoin’s future remains a complex blend of long-term optimism tempered with an acknowledgment of near-term hurdles.
Bitcoin is now trading at $29,147, revealing only a nominal daily increase over the past three months.